I started this very same thread at this time last year. Origin is over and now every team, with the exception of St George and Brisbane who have the bye this coming week, has 9 games left before either a finals campaign or a 'Mad Monday' celebration.
I am going to keep this thread running each week with the obvious focus on the Titans and how certain games each week will benefit / hinder our drive toward a home final.
Here is the ladder after Rd. 17, assuming that the Dragons get the better of the Panthers tonight (I think they will...):
Dragons - 28
Panthers - 24
Tigers - 22
Titans - 22
Rabbits - 20
Manly - 20
Roosters - 20
Warriors - 20
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Broncos - 18
Eels - 16
Knights - 16
Dogs - 14
Raiders - 14
Sharks - 14
Cowboys - 12
Storm - 0 (in reality 22)
Almost every year 28 points is the number required to play finals footy but with the Storm debacle it basically means that there is a Top 9 this year so it could be as low as 26. However, with our woeful for and against that is all academic. We should really be looking to win 6 of our last 9 and securing 34 points and a home final.
Here is our run home:
18 - Wests (Campbelltown)
19 - Brisbane
20 - Dragons (WIN Jubilee)
21 - Warriors (NZ)
22 - Eels
23 - Cowboys
24 - Roosters (SFS)
25 - Sharks (Toyota)
26 - Wests
Can we win 6 of those??? That is the $64,000 question. The only game that is an absolute no-hoper is the Rd. 20 visit to Kogarah but there are no gimmes in there either and if we play the way we have for our last 3 halves of football (2nd half v Dogs and then Knights) we won't even make the top 8.
With 9 rounds to go I think it is fair to say that 4 teams are Gooooone...
The Raiders, Sharks, Cowboys and Storm are all gone and any team (including us) that gets them in the run home have to get the 2 points against them.
Obviously the Storm are a massive wildcard in that pack and we should be super thankful that we have seen the last of them for 2010. In essence they are playing for us over the last 2 months becasue they play almost all of our main rivals and any games they win will be a bonus for us.
We get the Cowboys in Rd. 23 (home) and the Sharks in Rd. 25 (away). These 4 points are absolute musts because if there seasons aren't over now they definitely will be by the time we get to them.
Anyway, there is plenty of water to flow under this bridge between now and September and I look forward to plenty of great discussion as our drive to a home final (gotta keep it optimistic ) gains momentum in the next 2 months.